Still trying to make up my mind on an extended warranty from Mopar. I don't really want to get into the specifics about years/miles/company in this thread. I've read some great threads here about that kind of stuff already. Just looking for a real high level response. I expect it to turn out mostly that is has not paid off, but still curious. If you've had several over the years, just respond about your most recent Ram one, if possible.
Also, if you have had to use it, were you ever asked for maint records (oil changes, etc)?
Thanks
I worked for an extended warranty company, both as an independent business and later as a subsidiary of Kemper Insurance. The 'high level response' you get here is nothing compared to the actuary charts the warranty companies have and will likely have self-selection bias toward those who believe it's paid off. What you will get is anecdotes, and multiple anecdotes =/= data. if you're just seeking justification for a decision already made, buy your warranty. If you can't afford repairs, then pay extra for the risk reduction by insuring against the loss. But you will pay extra, if a warranty "made money" for the majority of users...how would warranty companies stay afloat? Let alone afford all the extra logistics and layers of profit vs just repair costs?
Long term, you will lose money. Some individuals may come out ahead. The same is true of a casino, and casinos have higher payout rates. Literally. Slot machines payout a higher percentage of money fed into them then the extended warranty business does.
If you like anecdotes, I bought the lifetime (no longer offered) on my truck. After tax it was roughly $2200. Had I taken that money and invested in an S&P 500 index fund I would have an inflation adjusted $3900 today (minus any tax burden, of course). To date I've used the warranty once, for an ignition coil. Total cost was $350. I paid only the $100 deductible, so I got a payout of $250. We'll ignore I likely could have used an independent shop at a lower cost.
I am still down $1950 in real dollars and $3650 if you count opportunity costs (which you shouuld). Since I have the lifetime, and intend to keep the truck for the foreseeable future, there's still time for it to pay off. I will *probably* get ahead in real dollars at some point unless it gets totaled out. It's much less likely I get ahead in terms of opportunity costs...but I balance that by keeping less money in an emergency fund and investing it. And that's only because it's a lifetime warranty.
I would not buy a set term warranty. Keep an emergency fund so you can 'self-insure' and keep the gains for yourself. If you can't maintain an emergency fund, then you can't really afford a new vehicle anyway and are just inflicting more financial damage to yourself long term.