That's overly optimistic.
The infrastructure to support charging large numbers of EVs will take decades to put in place. For homeowners it's relatively easy to put in a home charger. For the 36% of American households who rent? You think the landlord is going to be installing chargers?
What about all the people who park on the street or in a lot or garage? Even if the chargers are there what's to stop some hoodlum from unplugging them all in the middle of the night?
Of course none of this addresses the matter of available power in the electric grid. California has ...
Optimistic, yes, overly, well I don't have a crystal ball but I don't think overly but to your point, there are many variables involved. I'm not suggesting the entire population will run out and buy an EV when solid-state batteries (if they deliver what they promise) hit the market. It will be a slow adoption (if folks find them affordable) and likely pace the recharging infrastructure development. I do have inside information, my neighbor is in a position with DTE, the area electric company. He tells me the grid in this area is fully capable of supporting an EV recharging infrastructure.
There are so many variables and many regions in our country that have different use cases and solutions. Take my son, he has a one-way commute of 33 miles to work. He drives a Bolt and in the winter, he cannot make the round trip but because his employer has installed recharging stations, he can. So, many folks who live in apartments, condos, and neighborhoods without our private garages that could not recharge at home, may find recharging resources at their work.
Then there is my use case. I would entertain an EV pickup that had the ability to tow my fishing boat to places I fish which are for the most part, in the middle of nowhere (think the Michigan thumb coasts). I'm not going to find a recharging station that would be capable of high output, I think they call them superchargers. If I can't get a towing range of several hundred miles, the EV pickup is dead to me. Then at home, I don't and won't have a supercharger. Residential areas simply do not have this amount of power available (I believe 480 volt 3 phase is needed). What did TFL measure, a 220-volt home recharger took somewhere around 4 days to recharge the Hummer EV. That isn't going to work for anybody.
Then there are the issues of the battery versus the climate you are in. 20% plus capacity is lost when in cold or hot climates, basically half the country. That sucks.
Then the negativity that is hitting news cycles regarding recharging stations. Located out and away from stores and bathrooms, lacks weather cover, safety and security issues, recharging has multiple standards (they really need to select one, only one if they want success), broken charges (this seems to be a significant issue), and then I've read recently about the recharger's phone app not connecting leaving people stuck.
And the creeps running around at night unplugging EV chargers you mentioned, not only do I see that happening, but it will, and often I'm sad to say. If you have an EV, you get unplugged and if your have an ICE, you get your tires slashed. What's left, a bike, they will steal that, a horse got to feed and room it and then it will, as dictated by Murphy, take a dump in the most inopportune place. Now we are down to walking, where you can get mugged.
California is so different, in a bad way, that it shouldn't be used for comparison unless the topic is garbage dumps.